Forecasts and scenarios

Everything on this page is model output. Observed history is drawn in black, forecasts in dashed blue, and each model shows how it was validated.

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Scenario analysis

Rule-based what-ifs on stated assumptions. They are not calibrated forecasts and carry no probability.

Your scenario

Gas price change, EUR/MWhEUA price change, EUR/tDemand change, %Nuclear availability change, MWSolar and wind change, %Import availability change, MW

Assumptions

Share of hours with gas at the margin (0 to 1)Gas plant efficiency (0 to 1)Price slope, EUR/MWh per GW of residual load (empty = estimated)

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Daily values. A visible pattern is an association, not proof of cause.

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